SPACE WEATHER INFORMATION AND FORECAST SERVICES

Center for Space Research
The National Research and Innovation Agency
BRIN - Indonesia

2026 Sep 23

Geomagnet

Quiet

Ionosphere

Quiet

Forecast

Geomagnet

Quiet

Ionosphere

Quiet

Issued : 2026 September 23 0800 UTC
Forecast Valid For 24 Hours

ESSENTIAL INFORMATION FOR SPACE WEATHER COMMUNITIES

HF Radio Communication

MUF Depression

Shortwave Fadeout / Radio Blackout

NAVIGATION

Error Positioning

SATELLITES

High Energy Proton

High Energy Electron

Detailed Information

Solar Activity

Eruptive solar activity was observed over the past 24 hours. 

Three C-class flares were observed, with no M-class or X-class flares. The most significant event was a C2.4 flare from NOAA 14534, peaking at 17:20 UT. No solar radio bursts nor CME were reported. On the visible disk, eight active regions were identified by SDO/HMI: NOAA 14533, NOAA 14534, NOAA 14535, NOAA 14536, NOAA 14537, NOAA 14538, NOAA 14539, and NOAA 14540. One H-Alpha plage was observed by BBSO: NOAA 14532. No farside region is expected to return to the visible disk within the next 24 hours. 
Based on Random forest model forecasting, eruptive solar activity is predicted for the next 24 hours. 

Geomagnetic Activity

The geomagnetic activity was on quiet level for the last 24 hours.

The solar wind speed decrease from 357 km/s to 310 km/s, north-south component of interplanetary magnetic field fluctuate between -4.0 nT and 2.2 nT. The coronal hole was not geoeffective.
Quiet level geomagnetic activity is expected for the next 24 hours.

Ionospheric Activity

Ionosphere was in Quiet level for the last 24 hours.

There was no depression of foF2 lower than 30% of its median values.There was increment of fmin more than 30% of its median values for 15 minutes. The Spread-F occured for 450 minutes. The Sporadic E layer occured in the night and daytime for 495 minutes with foEs value exceeded the foF2 for 60 minutes. The S4 index values (condition of ionospheric scintillation) was on Moderate (S4 < 0.8) level last 24 hours over Agam. The TEC values was on Quiet (VTEC < 125) level last 24 hours over Agam.

The ionosphere activity for the next 24 hours is predicted to be Quiet.

Navigation

For the last 24 hours, the error of the single frequency GPS positioning was on Slight level.

The probability of error positioning for the next 24 hours is predicted to be Slight, based on scintillation and TEC variations.

HF Radio Communication

The MUF(Maximum Usable Frequency) depression was in Quiet condition and the SWF (Short Wave Fadeout) was in Quiet for the last 24 hours.

The MUF depression for the next 24 hours is predicted to be Quiet, based on prediction of geomagnetic activity.

The SWF for the next 24 hours is predicted to be Quiet, based on prediction of Solar activity.

Satellites

The electron flux was on low level for the last 24 hours.
Low level of electron flux is expected for the next 24 hours.

The 10 MeV proton flux was quiet over the past 24 hours. 
The quiet conditions are expected to persist for the next 24 hours.