Detailed Information

Solar Activity

Solar activity over the past 24 hours was eruptive.

A total of 14 C-class solar flares were observed, with no M-class or X-class flares detected. The most significant event was a C4.9 flare peaking at 11:14UT from NOAA 14566. Associated with this activity, two Type III solar radio bursts were reported, while no Type II or Type IV solar radio bursts were detected. Furthermore, two coronal mass ejections were observed, with one originating from the west limb at an estimated speed of 351 km/s and an angular width of 10 degrees. No CMEs were observed originating from the east limb.

On the visible disk, SDO/HMI imagery indicated the presence of seven active regions, identified as NOAA 14566, NOAA 14568, NOAA 14572, NOAA 14573, NOAA 14574, NOAA 14575, and NOAA 14576. Additionally, two H-alpha plages were observed by BBSO, corresponding to NOAA 14569 and NOAA 14570. No farside active regions were observed returning to the visible disk.

Based on predictions from the Random Forest model, solar activity for :
November 13th, 2026 04:00 UT - November 14th, 2026 03:59 UT is predicted to be active.
November 14th, 2026 04:00 UT - November 15th, 2026 03:59 UT is predicted to be eruptive.
November 15th, 2026 04:00 UT - November 16th, 2026 03:59 UT is predicted to be eruptive.

Geomagnetic Activity

The geomagnetic activity was on quiet level for the last 24 hours.


The solar wind speed decrease from 549 km/s to 446 km/s, north-south component of interplanetary magnetic field fluctuate between -3.7 nT and 4.7 nT. Corona hole at was not geoeffective.

Quiet level geomagnetic activity is expected for the next 24 hours.
Quiet level geomagnetic activity is expected for 14 November 2026 07UT - 15 November 2026 07UT
Quiet level geomagnetic activity is expected for 15 November 2026 07UT - 16 November 2026 07UT

Ionospheric Activity

Ionosphere was in disturbed on Minor level for the last 24 hours.

There was depression of foF2 lower than 30% of its median values for  30 minutes.There was increment of fmin more than 30% of its median values for  15 minutes. The Spread-F occured  for  165 minutes. The Sporadic E layer occured in the night and daytime  for  720 minutes with foEs value exceeded the foF2  for  75 minutes. The S4 index values (condition of ionospheric scintillation) was on Quiet (S4 < 0.5) level last 24 hours over Agam. The TEC values was on Quiet (VTEC < 125) level last 24 hours over Agam. 

The ionosphere activity on November 13th, 04:00 UT - November 14th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Quiet.
The ionosphere activity on November 14th, 04:00 UT - November 15th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Quiet.
The ionosphere activity on November 15th, 04:00 UT - November 16th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Quiet.

Navigation

For the last 24 hours, the error of the single frequency GPS positioning was on Normal level. 

The probability of error positioning on November 13th, 04:00 UT - November 14th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Normal, based on scintillation and TEC variations.
The probability of error positioning on November 14th, 04:00 UT - November 15th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Normal, based on scintillation and TEC variations.
The probability of error positioning on November 15th, 04:00 UT - November 16th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Normal, based on scintillation and TEC variations.

HF Radio Communication

The MUF(Maximum Usable Frequency) depression was in Minor condition  and the SWF (Short Wave Fadeout) was in Quiet for the last 24 hours.

The MUF depression on November 13th, 04:00 UT - November 14th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Quiet, based on prediction of geomagnetic activity.
The MUF depression on November 14th, 04:00 UT - November 15th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Quiet, based on prediction of geomagnetic activity.
The MUF depression on November 15th, 04:00 UT - November 16th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Quiet, based on prediction of geomagnetic activity.

The SWF on November 13th, 04:00 UT - November 14th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Minor, based on prediction of Solar activity.
The SWF on November 14th, 04:00 UT - November 15th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Quiet, based on prediction of Solar activity.
The SWF on November 15th, 04:00 UT - November 16th, 03:59 UT is predicted to be Quiet, based on prediction of Solar activity.

Satellites

The electron flux was on high level for the last 24 hours.

High level of electron flux is expected for the next 24 hours.
High level of electron flux is expected for 14 November 2026 07UT - 15 November 2026 07UT
High level of electron flux is expected for 15 November 2026 07UT - 16 November 2026 07UT

The 10 MeV proton flux remained Quiet over the past 24 hours. Based on the observed conditions from the preceding 24 hours, the flux of high energy proton for :
November 13th, 2026 04:00 UT - November 14th, 2026 03:59 UT is predicted to be quiet.
November 14th, 2026 04:00 UT - November 15th, 2026 03:59 UT is predicted to be quiet.
November 15th, 2026 04:00 UT - November 16th, 2026 03:59 UT is predicted to be quiet.